Genomic evidence suggests that lysogenic viruses significantly influence the evolution of their host communities and soil microbial ecology and functionality. However, the response of soil viral reproductive strategies (VRS) to environmental factors, in particular soil water stress, remains poorly understood. We investigated this by employing a laboratory microcosm incubation system with different soil moisture levels (30%, 60% and 90% field capacity). Our study focused on soil biochemical properties, bacterial and viral populations, lysogenic fractions and virus/bacteria ratio (VBR). The results showed that soil moisture significantly affected bacterial and viral counts, lysogenic fractions and VBR (p < 0.01), with bacterial counts increasing and viral counts decreasing with increasing soil moisture. The lysogenic fraction peaked at low moisture, suggesting a shift in viral strategy under hydration stress, which may affect virus-bacteria interactions and nutrient dynamics, enhancing host adaptability. Analyses using correlation, random forest and structural equation modelling identified soil moisture as the dominant factor shaping VRS by altering nutrient availability and host population. These findings provide a new insight into microbial regulation of feedback to environmental change from the life history strategies of soil viruses.