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The predictability of a lake phytoplankton community, over time-scales of hours to years
Thomas, M. K., Fontana, S., Reyes, M., Kehoe, M., & Pomati, F. (2018). The predictability of a lake phytoplankton community, over time-scales of hours to years. Ecology Letters, 21(5), 619-628. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.12927
Selenium deficiency risk predicted to increase under future climate change
Jones, G. D., Droz, B., Greve, P., Gottschalk, P., Poffet, D., McGrath, S. P., … Winkel, L. H. E. (2017). Selenium deficiency risk predicted to increase under future climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America PNAS, 114(11), 2848-2853. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1611576114
The ecological forecast horizon, and examples of its uses and determinants
Petchey, O. L., Pontarp, M., Massie, T. M., Kéfi, S., Ozgul, A., Weilenmann, M., … Pearse, I. S. (2015). The ecological forecast horizon, and examples of its uses and determinants. Ecology Letters, 18(7), 597-611. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.12443
On the usefulness of overparameterized ecological models
Reichert, P., & Omlin, M. (1997). On the usefulness of overparameterized ecological models. Ecological Modelling, 95, 289-299. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3800(96)00043-9